Uthgard • View topic - Problem with Spellcrafting

Problem with Spellcrafting - BOOM!

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Freckle Warder Posts: 29 Joined: Aug 10, 2017 20:30	Reply with quote by Freckle » Aug 25, 2017 22:30 With respect to the original poster, at 30% chance of success, 1% chance of boom, and 69% chance of failure/retry, if you continue to SC until success or boom, the actual % chance of boom for the item is about 3.226%, or 1 out of 31 will go boom.

Topenga Gryphon Knight Posts: 254 Joined: Mar 02, 2010 01:00 Location: somewhere in germany ICQ	Reply with quote by Topenga » Sep 07, 2017 07:59 You don*t know much about math or statistics do you? Topenga, Thayla, Shlemil, Priesterin, Wilfried, Shinanai - Legendary Six! Fire Ice and Melodies (FIM) - member of the Ni-Alliance on Uth/Alb (former Lyo/Alb) --- A little bit of math - crafting probabilities

cairbeth Warder Posts: 49 Joined: Jul 17, 2017 13:49	Reply with quote by cairbeth » Dec 23, 2017 15:38 kinthos wrote:In the last few weeks I've lost a lot of items using 4x 99% gems on 99% armour or weapons. Here are 2 examples from today: Bug report - https://www2.uthgard.net/tracker/issue/ ... ge_problem Any other SCers having similar problems? I am 1025 SC. do 1 MP gem and 0% of blowing up

Spivo Eagle Knight Posts: 1006 Joined: Aug 15, 2011 14:29 Location: Denmark	Reply with quote by Spivo » Dec 27, 2017 08:05 Just like making 2 MP's in a row is possible, so is that. People also tend to forget the risk of blowing up doing 4x99 gems on 99 item, is not 1%. You have 30% chance of success and 1% risk of blowing up, but since the chance of success is only 30% you will have to do many retries, and each failure risks you blowing up. Some math viz can likely give us the real % risk, but I'd say it's closer to 3-4% on each item due to the retries. Edit: If you want no risk, make one of the 5 components (gems/item) MP, then 0 risk. Albion and having fun

Stasis Eagle Knight Posts: 803 Joined: Dec 21, 2016 15:28	Reply with quote by Stasis » Dec 27, 2017 15:32 When crafting in MP items i always start with lowest gems (hope for MP) and continue to highest. If i get a MP i jump to highest stone and stop if i get a 98. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Freckle Warder Posts: 29 Joined: Aug 10, 2017 20:30	Reply with quote by Freckle » Jan 31, 2018 03:32 Spivo wrote:You have 30% chance of success and 1% risk of blowing up, but since the chance of success is only 30% you will have to do many retries, and each failure risks you blowing up. Some math viz can likely give us the real % risk, but I'd say it's closer to 3-4% on each item due to the retries. I posted the numbers up above already, though I wouldn't claim to be a math viz. I'm still waiting for Topenga the math sage to correct me with something more than flawed rhetoric.

Atum Myrmidon Posts: 90 Joined: Sep 04, 2007 00:00	Reply with quote by Atum » Mar 01, 2018 15:21 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TAk8pAr5g8s Atum / Talmar Bellum Potentiae / Genesis / Bonzenverein / Morrigans Breath DAoC Log/Alb, Dm/Hib, Salis/Alb, Uth/Hib WoW Gorgonnash/Horde

Vlalkor Forum Moderator Posts: 415 Joined: Jun 23, 2011 03:31	Reply with quote by Vlalkor » Mar 09, 2018 14:23 The other day I was crafting and had 5.5 OC with over 1k SC. all 99% gems on 99% armor. BOOM DEAD.. I Cried IRL.

Icharus Myrmidon Posts: 212 Joined: Oct 18, 2009 00:00	Reply with quote by Icharus » Mar 09, 2018 18:29 Over 1k SC and had 14 pieces of 99% armor/weapons to do a 5.5 OC few days ago.. I went boom on 2 of the peices (one a weapon) and it took 29 tries to remake the 99% weapon. Also on several of the pieces it took 10+ tries to imbue the gems. Something is very wrong with that scenario.