What's the proc rate for the cleric's RR5?

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Force
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Joined: Oct 22, 2009 00:00

Postby Force » Mar 11, 2010 13:45

no, what I said is correct. Looking at both hits, the probability of you not being stunned the first hit, and then being stunned the 2nd hit is 21%.


That means that if you did this 1 million times+ and looked at all the times you had both hands hit, 21% of the time you would see hand 1 not proc a stun, but hand 2 proc a stun.


That is calculated based on a 30% chance of the 2nd proc to go off! its .7 X .3, a 70% chance the first one does not proc, and a 30% chance the 2nd one does.


Like I said, figure out every possible scenario and their likely hood and add up the ones that end in you being stunned. That's the % chance you have to get stunned when looking at BOTH hits. and its 51%


Rose wrote:It is static 30% for each hit, no matter which hand hits it. Therefore you get 2x chance of getting it procced if you hit cleric with 2 weps.


yes, for EACH hit, we are not talking about 1 hit, in which case it would just be 30%. In fact, the chance the FIRST hit stuns you is 30%. But because in those 3/10 instances you won't see a stun from the 2nd hit, the odds of being stunned by hand 2 are only 21%, not 30%. Yes, IF and only IF you don't get stunned by hand 1 7/10 times, you will THEN have a 30% chance of being stunned. But looking at both events as a whole, you've only a 21% chance of being stunned on hand 2. 21% + 30% = 51%.

If I quad, what are the odds I get stunned? 4 hits, do we go 30% X 4 = 120%? Of course not!

What are the odds you DON'T get stunned? 70% X 2 = 140%? Of course not! (its 70% X 70% = 49% btw)

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